I need someone to finish writing my essay by tmrw morning

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2,000 word essay i have the first 2 paragraphs written its on philosophy 

the pictures i uploaded is just so you can uses sources from those

1)       Popkin, Richard H., and Stroll, Avrum. “Philosophy Made Simple 2ndEdition”. Broadway Books, New York. 1993.       

2)  Perry, John,  Bratman, Michael, and Martin Fischer, John. “ Introduction to Philosophy 5th Edition” . Ofxord University Press, Oxford. 2010.

use these two for bibliography(the books of the pages I uploaded) and maybe like one or two other sources

 

THE TOPIC IS 

What are the arguments for and against determinism and free will, and which do you find more  compelling. Why? 


here are my 2 paragraphs 

In terms of arguments for and against determinism and free will, there are many aspects and perspectives to consider, as both ideas correlate. Through numerous philosophers’ theories and research on this topic, one is able to gain a sense of the ideas and to reach a conclusion of which seems more compelling in their logic. Specific philosophers’ viewpoints that I found interesting include, but are not limited to, Hobbes, Tolstoy, Moore, and Hume. Although quite abstract in its holistic sense, I for one like to think that I am for free will and determinism as denial of freedom ultimately leads to dehumanization of the self. 

 

Determinism states that the way things will be is a result of how things are the work of natural laws. In other words, it is when internal or external forces are seen to be the effect of one’s behaviors; whereas free will can be simply defined as “the belief that human beings can be the authors of their own actions and to reject the idea that human actions are determined by external conditions or fate.”  Hans Eysenck, a German psychologist,once asked “could a person’s behavior have been different in a certain situation if they willed it?”

 

Mgmt 4300 (the critical thinking booklet)

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Good – read the Critical Thinking booklet – two pages summary one main points to you and how you can use them in your life.

 

 Read the Critical Thinking booklet

  Prepare a two page summary of the booklet and how you might apply the principles to your life. 

Exploring business strategy | Management homework help

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 This assignment is designed to assess learning outcomes: 

1. Understand the varying types and levels of strategy in an organisation. 

2. Analyse internal and external environments and strategic options available to an organisation. 

3. Demonstrate self-awareness, openness and sensitivity to diversity in terms of people, cultures, business and strategic management issues. 

This assignment is an individual assignment. 

This assignment requires you to write an original essay answering only ONE of the following questions: 

1. “…the determinants of organizational culture are based on profiles of their leaders…” (Miladi 2014). 

Discuss, with reference to an organisation of your choice using the “cultural web”. (100%) 

OR 

2. “Differentiation can be a competitive strategy for any organisation” (Majeed 2015). 

Critically discuss this statement with reference to Porter’s generic strategies. Support your argument with relevant examples. (100%) 

 

plz study all attachments and do it best

Evaluation of agency’s public personnel administration

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Evaluation of Agency’s Public Personnel Administration

Instructions

Write a 4–5 page paper titled, “Evaluation of Agency’s Public Personnel Administration,” in which you:

  1. Analyze the organizational design of the selected agency’s human resource management in relationship to the entire organization. Assess its strengths and weaknesses (title this section “Organizational Design”).
  2. Assess the agency in terms of its global or international linkages, highlighting its application of theory to its approach to personnel management (title this section “Global Linkages and Personnel Management”).
  3. Analyze at least three of the major components of the agency’s human resource system’s goals and practices regarding the recruitment and hiring of a qualified workforce (title this section “Personnel Recruitment and Hiring Practices”).
  4. Evaluate the agency’s approach to training and programs provided for new and existing employees for the development of knowledge, skills, and overall competencies, highlighting the strengths and weaknesses (title this section “Employee Skills Training”).
  5. Recommend at least two actions the agency could take to improve in the areas of recruiting and training a qualified workforce (title this section “Recruiting and Training Recommendations”).
  6. Appropriately incorporate at least four quality sources. A quality source can be either popular, such as a news article, or scholarly, such as peer-reviewed works. In the case of public administration, government websites are appropriate quality resources. Note: Wikipedia, SparkNotes, and similar websites do not qualify as academic resources. Go to Basic Search: Strayer University Online Library to conduct research.

This course requires the use of Strayer Writing Standards. For assistance and information, please refer to the Strayer Writing Standards link in the left-hand menu of your course. Check with your professor for any additional instructions.

Refer to the PAD530 Scenario for Assignments [DOCX] and use the PAD530 Interview Guide [DOCX] for this assignment.

The course learning outcome associated with this assignment is:

  • Evaluate the strengths and weaknesses of the major components of a public personnel management system.

Epidemiology discussion 1 | Biology homework help

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Because it draws from other fields such as biostatistics and social sciences, epidemiology is described as being interdisciplinary. From which aspects of other disciplines do you feel epidemiology borrows? In what ways does epidemiology differ from those disciplines? When responding to your classmates, provide additional connections between epidemiology and other disciplines. Support your response with specific examples.

Ethical concerns | Psychology homework help

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Consider these landmark studies in the field of psychology mentioned in this video linked here.

  • Do you think they would be considered unethical today?
  • What ethical issues stand out as possible concerns to you?

Research more about these studies, or one of the others found in the resource link above, and create a PowerPoint presentation (or other) covering possible ethical concerns while also citing the relevant principles and standards of the ethics code. Use references from this module and include APA in-text citations.

Week 5 assignment 1 | Psychology homework help

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Assignment 1: Discussion Assignment

 

BOTH ARTICLES ARE ATTACHED

 

From your course textbook, Ticket to Write, read the following chapters:

  • “Popular Culture: Shaping and Reflecting Who We Are,” by Billy Wilson
  • “Willie, My Thirteen-Year-Old Teacher,” by Scott Leopold.

The Hook 
Do you like to fish? If so, you probably know the importance of using the right kind of hook or bait if you want to catch a particular fish. Similarly, your opening to your essay needs to “catch” your readers’ attention long enough so that the next lines can “reel them in.”

Consider using one of these techniques in your revised narrative essay: a focusing question, some dialogue, or a short scene. Here’s an opener that uses a scene to interest the reader in the topic of single parenthood:

“Mom, please! All the kids at school have one. Do you want me to be a social outcast?” My son glared at me and slouched against the row of gleaming cell phones, as other customers shot disapproving glances my way. Did they think I was an ogre for not indulging him or a permissive parent for allowing him to speak to me like that? Ah, parenthood… Whatever made me think I could raise a child to adulthood? And now I was facing the frightening prospect on my own.

Discussion: 
Notice that both of this week’s readings start off with engaging openings.

  • Which one of the readings did you prefer? Why?
  • How did Wilson or Leopold hook you as a reader?
  • How will you revise your narrative essay to hook your reader?

Example End References

Leopold, S. (2013). Willie, my thirteen-year-old teacher. In S. S. Thurman, & W. L. Gary, Jr. (Eds.), Ticket to write: Writing skills for success. [Vital Source Bookshelf] (p. 134-137). Retrieved from myeclassonline.com

Wilson, B. (2013). Popular culture: Shaping and reflecting who we are. In S. S. Thurman, & W. L. Gary, Jr. (Eds.), Ticket to write: Writing skills for success. [Vital Source Bookshelf] (pp. 624-626). Retrieved from myeclassonline.com

Module 05 nurse e-portfolio – mid-course entry module 05 nurse

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In this mid-course entry into your Nurse E-Portfolio for this course, you continue to have opportunities for reflective practice. In this entry you deepen your understanding and awareness of nutrition. Using the e-portfolio format, answer the following questions. Make sure you spend some time thinking about the answers to these questions before writing.

  • In the first entry you were asked to give yourself a rating from 1 to 5, with 5 representing the healthiest eater. What number would you give yourself now?
  • Did your rating change? If so, in what direction and in what way? What adjustments to your diet, if any, did you make?
  • Are your eating patterns based on family traditions or cultural or religious reasons? If so, do these support or promote healthy eating?
  • What two important nutritional principles or concepts have you learned and will always remember? What is their impact on your delivery of quality safe nursing care?

Coastline bus150 m04-06 quiz chapter 4, 5 and 6 quiz latest 2017

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Question

Question 1

Rachel, an advertising executive, shops for clothing at a trendy store in town. The sales clerk shows her the latest styles in bright prints and bold colors. Although these are the styles worn at her office, she rejects them and purchases traditionally formal clothes in neutrals and black.Rachel’s decision is most likely driven by _____ factors.

institutional

impersonal

interpersonal

personal

Question 2

Online communities like Internet forums, newsgroups, and social networking sites take advantage of the _____ function of the Internet.

entertainment

information

communication

comparison

Question 3

A _____ is generally responsible for generating programs necessary to build and assemble the features for social tools such as blogs and communities.

social media specialist

brand manager

copywriter

social media developer

Question 4

Marketers can attempt to shape the outcome of the post purchase evaluation by:

attempting to convince consumers that a competing brand does not meet their criteria.

offering personal assistance with any problem experienced with the product.

trying to get consumers to expand their evoked sets to include their product.

helping consumers to identify potential problems or needs.

Question 5

Which of the following terms refers to a company website that sells products to customers?

Information kiosk

Corporate website

Electronic storefront

Online community

Question 6

The executive summary of a social media marketing plan is said to be effective if:

it clearly describes the overall market conditions and the firm’s current position in social media.

it gives compelling reasons as to why the plan should be adopted by the firm.

it effectively defines the methods for monitoring, measuring, and managing the social media marketing efforts.

it provides an expert view on the competitors’ presence in the social media, including the platforms they choose and their overall effectiveness.

Question 7

The term _____ is used to describe dot-com retailers without traditional stores or catalogs.

pure-play

brick-and-mortar

high-street

multichannel

Question 8

The content for a social media marketing campaign is said to be effective if it:

presents the SMM effort as a one-way conversation, much like traditional marketing.

contains detailed information about competing product offerings in the market.

has a strong brand focus.

focuses on promoting the company outright.

Question 9

Which of the following types of social media platforms allow their users to create an online profile of biographical data including photos and information such as employment, education, and relationship status, and to invite friends to join their circle?

Social networking sites

Blogging sites

Social news sites

Microblogs

Question 10

Edward is looking to purchase a laptop as he is not satisfied with the features of his old laptop. He gathers information from his coworkers about the new models available in the market with the desired features and lists down all the available options. The next step in Edward’s decision-making process is to:

purchase the product from a trusted dealer recommended by his family.

compare the prices and features of all the available brands in his list.

continue looking for more options available in the market.

identify the problem he is facing with his current computer.

Question 11

The _____ of a social media marketing plan examines and evaluates the competitors’ presence in social media, including the platforms and tools they select and their overall effectiveness.

executive summary

body

competitive analysis

overview

Question 12

Big Martin Corporation uses its website to target customers and promote its products. Big Martin is engaged in:

e-marketing.

online trading.

Web services.

integrated marketing.

Question 13

A motive is an inner state that directs a person to create:

equity between the cost and benefits of the need satisfaction.

a sense of cognitive dissonance in the process of need satisfaction.

equilibrium between the actual and desired states.

excitement in attaining the need satisfaction.

Question 14

Stinson’s, a chain of luxury department stores, uses a unique two-dimensional code on pamphlets and brochures that can be read by mobile phones with cameras. These codes provide detailed information regarding the products available in the store along with their prices. Which of the following are being used by Stinson’s in the above scenario?

Social networks

Apps

QR codes

Fact Tags

Question 15

Jonathan, who has experience in graphics designing, was hired by a firm to oversee the look and feel of its Facebook page. Jonathan was most likely hired as a _____.

copywriter

brand manager

social media designer

social media developer

 

 

Forecasting tourism (2010 competition, part i)

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Forecasting Tourism (2010 Competition, Part I)

Background

Tourism is one of the most rapidly growing global industries and tourism forecasting is becoming an increasingly important activity in planning and managing the industry (from kaggle.com).

Problem Description

The 2010 tourism forecasting competition had two parts. In part I, competitors were tasked with producing forecasts for the next four years, given 518 series of annual tourism data.

Available Data

The data consist of 518 annual series, each related to some (undisclosed) tourism activity. Tourism activities include inbound tourism numbers to one country from another country, visitor nights in a particular country, tourism expenditure, etc. The series differ in length, ranging from 7-year series to 43-year series. They also differ in the order of magnitude of values. The data are available at www.kaggle.com/c/tourism1/Data (download the file “tourism_data.csv”)

Assignment Goals

his case will give you experience with forecasting a large number of series. While the competition goal was to achieve the highest predictive accuracy, the goal of this case is to highlight different aspects of the forecasting process that pertain to forecasting a large number of series. For example, easy-to-use visualization tools have a significant advantage for visualizing a large number of series. Note that the multiple series in this case are not likely to be forecasted together. However, it is common to forecast the demand for a large number of series, such as products in a supermarket chain. Another aspect of this case is the use of different predictive measures, and handling practical issues such as zero counts and summarizing forecast accuracy across series.

The assignment provides guidelines for walking you through the forecasting process. Remember that the purpose is not winning the (already completed) contest, but rather learning how to approach forecasting of a large number of series.

 

Assignment

1. Plot all the series (an advanced data visualization tool is recommended) – what type of components are visible? Are the series similar or different? Check for problems such as missing values and possible errors.

2. Partition the series into training and validation, so that the last 4 years are in the validation period for each series. What is the logic of such a partitioning? What is the disadvantage?

3. Generate naive forecasts for all series for the validation period. For each series, create forecasts with horizons of 1,2,3, and 4 years ahead ( , and ).

4. Among the measures MAE, Average error, MAPE and RMSE, which are suitable if we plan to combine the results for the 518 series?

5. For each series, compute MAPE of the naive forecasts once for the training period and once for the validation period.

6. The performance measure used in the competition is Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE). Explain the advantage of MASE and compute the training and validation MASE for the naive forecasts.

7. Create a scatterplot of the MAPE pairs, with the training MAPE on the x-axis and the validation MAPE on the y-axis. Create a similar scatter plot for validation MASE vs. MAPE. Now examine both plots. What do we learn? How does performance differ between the training and validation periods? How does performance range across series?

8. The competition winner, Lee Baker, used an ensemble of three methods:

∎ Naive forecasts multiplied by a constant trend (global/local trend: “globally tourism has grown “at a rate of 6% annually.”)

∎ Linear regression

∎ Exponentially-weighted linear regression

(a) Write the exact formula used for generating the first method, in the form

(b) What is the rational behind multiplying the naive forecasts by a constant?

(c) What should be the dependent variable and the predictors in a linear regression model for these data? Explain.

(d) Fit the linear regression model to the first five series and compute forecast errors for the validation period.

(e) Before choosing a linear regression, the winner described the following process “I examined fitting a polynomial line to the data and using the line to predict future values. I tried using first through fifth order polynomials to find that the lowest MASE was obtained using a first order polynomial (simple regression line). This best fit line was used to predict future values. I also kept the [R2 ] value of the fit for use in blending the results of the predictor.”

What are two flaws in this approach?

(f) If we were to consider exponential smoothing, what particular type(s) of exponential smoothing are reasonable candidates?

(g) The winner concludes with possible improvements, one being “an investigation into how to come up with a blending [=ensemble] method that doesn't use as much manual tweaking would also be of benefit.” Can you suggest methods or an approach that would lead to easier automation of the ensemble step?

(h) The competition focused on minimzing the average MAPE of the next four values across all 518 series. How does this goal differ from goals encountered in practice when considering tourism demand? Which steps in the forecasting process would likely be different in a real-life tourism forecasting scenario?